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● English Premier League · 7Kickoff 17 Oct 2026, 22:00

Fulham vs Hull City Prediction, Preview & Predicted Score

Prediction generated17 Oct 2026, 16:36Updated18 Oct 2026, 00:00models3/3◑ Partial
Home · #20/20
Fulham
FT
1 - 0
Predicted Result: 1 - 1 · FULHAM WIN
2/3 Markets correct
Away · #8/20
Hull City
● AI agreement
1/3for Fulham win
Fulham win33% · Gemini
● Disagree (GPT, DeepSeek)67%
● Key factors
  • Fulham are bottom of the table (20th) with just 2 points from 6 games; Hull sit 8th with 9 points.
  • All three models predict Under 2.75 goals, consistent with both teams’ low-scoring recent outings.
  • Fulham’s recent home draws against Man Utd (1-1) and Liverpool (0-0) show resilience but no wins.
  • Hull have drawn away at Chelsea and Aston Villa, proving tough to beat on the road.
  • Head-to-head history favours Fulham (4 wins in5), but those meetings were in2020–2023 and may not reflect current form.

What all 3 AI models say

Compare each model's pick and confidence before reading the full reasoning below.

✗
GPT
DRAW
1 - 1
Confidence 60%
✓
Gemini
FULHAM WIN
2 - 0
Confidence 75%
✗
DeepSeek
HULL WIN
0 - 1
Confidence 60%

Recent form

Each team's last 5 matches from the data used by AI.

Fulham5/15 pts
  • 20 Sept 2026vsManchester United1-1D
  • 16 Sept 2026@West Ham United3-2W
  • 12 Sept 2026@Liverpool0-0D
  • 5 Sept 2026vsCrystal Palace2-3L
  • 30 Aug 2026@Sunderland A.F.C0-1L
Hull City5/15 pts
  • 19 Sept 2026@Newcastle United1-2L
  • 12 Sept 2026@Chelsea2-2D
  • 9 Sept 2026@Sunderland A.F.C0-1L
  • 6 Sept 2026vsAston Villa0-0D
  • 29 Aug 2026@Coventry City1-0W

AI Reasoning Summary

Model Agreement Summary

The three AI models are unanimous on one key market: Under 2.75 goals. All three assign medium confidence to the under, citing both teams’ low-scoring patterns in recent league matches. Fulham have managed only 6 goals in 6 games (1.0 per match) while Hull have scored 8 (1.33 per match), and across the last 10 combined outings the majority have finished with two goals or fewer. On the result, however, the models diverge sharply: GPT forecasts a 1-1 draw, Gemini backs a home win for Fulham (2-0), and DeepSeek goes against the odds with an away victory for Hull (0-1). This split mirrors the challenging nature of the fixture, where form, historical data and market prices point in different directions.

Key Factors

League positions and form: Fulham sit rock-bottom with 0 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses and only 2 points, while Hull are a comfortable 8th with 9 points from 6 games. Fulham’s home record includes gritty draws against Manchester United and Liverpool, but they lost to Crystal Palace, underlining their inability to turn resilience into three points. Hull have been solid on their travels, drawing at Chelsea and Aston Villa and winning at Coventry, with only a narrow defeat at Newcastle in their most recent away league game.

Scoring rates: Both sides trend toward low-scoring affairs. Fulham’s matches average 1.33 goals for and 1.67 against; Hull’s average 1.33 for and 1.0 against. The combined 10-match sample shows 6 finished under 2.75 goals, strongly supporting the under call.

Head-to-head: Fulham have won 4 of the last 5 meetings, with the most recent a 2-0 FA Cup victory in January 2023. However, those results are 3-4 years old and involve a different Fulham side; current form suggests Hull are a much-improved outfit.

Market mispricing: DeepSeek highlights that the 1.62 home price implies a 58.7% win probability for Fulham, which seems excessive for a team without a league victory. Hull at 5.25 (18.1% implied) appears to offer value given their standing and away performances.

Where Models Disagree

Gemini’s bullish home call: It argues Fulham’s tactical width and set-piece threat will overwhelm Hull’s deep block, predicting a 2-0 home win with high confidence. It points to Fulham’s credible draws against top opposition as evidence of underlying quality.

GPT’s balanced draw: GPT sees a 1-1 stalemate as the most probable outcome, noting that neither attack is consistently prolific and that Fulham’s home tightness against big teams (1-1 vs United, 0-0 vs Liverpool) can be matched by Hull’s organized defence. The draw aligns with its handicap selection of Hull +0.75.

DeepSeek’s contrarian away pick: DeepSeek treats the odds as the primary signal, arguing that the 5.25 away price drastically undervalues a Hull side that has already been competitive away at Chelsea and Villa. It underscores that Fulham have yet to win any league match this season, so backing the visitors at a long price is a value-oriented stance.

Final Consensus Verdict

Taking all evidence into account, the most sensible consensus is to expect a tight, low-scoring contest that likely ends in a draw. While the models disagree on the winner, the median predicted score of 1-1 neatly captures the essence of the match: both teams struggle to create and convert consistently, and a share of the spoils fits the data best. The 1X2 selection is therefore draw, but confidence is low given the genuine split in opinion. The handicap market sees two of three models favour Hull +0.75, so the consensus picks away on the handicap, with medium confidence. The over/under market is the strongest agreement: all models predict under 2.75 goals, with medium confidence. The final predicted score is 1-1.

Detailed reasons from each model

Full AI responses explaining the reasoning path, starting with the majority view and then different views.

Gemini
Predicted: Fulham win
Confidence 75%

Tactical Chess: Fulham's Width vs Hull's Deep Block

Despite Fulham sitting bottom of the table at 20th, their underlying performances suggest a team poised for a rapid climb. Marco Silva's side has navigated an exceptionally grueling run of fixtures, demonstrating elite structural discipline by earning a 0-0 draw away at Anfield and a gritty 1-1 against Manchester United. In contrast, Hull City's 8th-place perch slightly flatters them; their reactive low block has ground out draws against fatigued opposition, but their defensive shell cracks when forced to absorb sustained territorial pressure.

  • Tactical Edge on the Flanks: Hull typically bunker in a narrow 5-4-1 structure, funneling play into wide areas. This plays directly into Fulham’s biggest offensive strength, where overlapping full-backs create 2v1 overloads against Hull's isolated wing-backs, generating dangerous low cutbacks and crosses into the penalty area.
  • Transition Control: Hull rely almost exclusively on rapid counter-attacks led by direct vertical passes. However, Fulham's well-drilled double pivot provides immense positional security, cutting off passing lanes and winning second balls in the middle third before transitions can materialize.
  • Set-Piece Superiority: Hull have conceded high-quality chances from secondary phases of dead-ball situations, an area where Fulham’s aerially dominant center-backs thrive.

With Fulham desperate to convert promising structural performances into three points, they have both the territorial control and technical superiority to suffocate Hull's sporadic threat and break them down for a decisive 2-0 victory.

Key factors
  • Fulham's deceptive 20th-place rank belies resilient draws vs Liverpool and Man Utd
  • Hull's narrow 5-4-1 low block leaves wide channels exposed to Fulham's overlapping full-backs
  • Fulham's disciplined double-pivot nullifies Hull's counter-attacking transitions
GPT
Predicted: DRAW
Confidence 60%

Statistical case for a draw

The standings give Hull the clearer season-to-date edge: they are eighth with 9 points from 6 matches, while Fulham are bottom with 2 points. Fulham have scored 6 and conceded 10 in the league, compared with Hull’s 8 scored and 6 conceded. The recent five-match samples are similarly restrained: Fulham scored 6 and conceded 7, while Hull scored 4 and conceded 5. That works out to Fulham scoring 1.2 goals per match and Hull 0.8, with the sample suggesting neither attack is consistently producing a high total.

The player figures also tilt toward Hull’s greater individual output. The leading listed Hull player has 3 goals and 2 assists in 6 appearances; Fulham’s leading listed scorer has 2 goals and no assists in 6 appearances. The feed omits player names, so the comparison is made using the season-stat entries supplied rather than inventing identities. Fulham’s recent 1-1 against Manchester United and 0-0 at Liverpool show they can keep matches close, despite the 2-3 loss to Crystal Palace. Hull have drawn 2-2 at Chelsea and 0-0 with Aston Villa, but their latest league result was a 1-2 defeat at Newcastle.

Markets and score

The historical head-to-head record favors Fulham, who won four of the five listed meetings, but those games are dated and do not outweigh the current table and recent form. The home price of 1.620 appears to lean heavily on that history and home advantage. A 1-1 draw is the most balanced single-score call: it supports the draw selection and stays below the 2.75 total line. With the handicap interpreted as Fulham -0.75, selecting away means Hull +0.75; that side benefits from the predicted draw. The modest recent scoring rates and both teams’ recent low-scoring results support under 2.75.

  • Choose the draw rather than backing Fulham’s short home price.
  • Take Hull on the 0.75 handicap, reflecting their stronger season record.
  • Back under 2.75, with 1-1 as the single most likely score.
Key factors
  • Fulham have 2 points from 6 league matches; Hull have 9
  • Recent goals per match: Fulham 1.2 scored, Hull 0.8
  • Hull's leading listed player has 3 goals and 2 assists in 6 apps
DeepSeek
Predicted: Hull City win
Confidence 60%

Market Signal and Contrarian Value

The 1x2 market prices Fulham as a heavy home favourite at 1.62, which translates to a raw implied probability of 61.7% (58.7% after removing the 5.1% overround). The draw is 4.10 (24.4% raw, 23.2% normalized) and Hull City are 5.25 (19.0% raw, 18.1% normalized). This pricing is disconnected from the league table: Fulham are bottom (20th) with 0 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses, only 6 goals scored and 2 points. Hull City are 8th with 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss, 9 points and a positive goal difference. The market is clearly overvaluing Fulham's home advantage and historical head-to-head record, while underrating Hull's current form.

Where is the mispricing? Fulham have not won any league match this season. Their home results are two draws (Manchester United, Liverpool) and one loss (Crystal Palace). Hull have drawn away at Chelsea, won away at Coventry, and drawn with Aston Villa. The away win at 5.25 implies only an 18.1% chance, but a team 12 places higher with a better attack and defence should be closer to 25-30% to win. The draw at 4.10 is also undervalued, but the away price is fatter relative to form. On the Asian handicap, Fulham -0.75 at 1.88 implies a 53.2% chance of covering, while Hull +0.75 at 1.98 implies 50.5%. Given Hull can lose by one goal and still half-win, +0.75 is a safer contrarian play.

Over/Under: The line is 2.75. Under is priced at 1.88 (53.2% implied), over at 1.98 (50.5% implied). Both teams have been low-scoring: Fulham have scored 6 in 6, Hull 8 in 6. In their last 10 combined matches, 6 went under 2.75. I predict a 0-1 Hull win, which keeps the total under 2.75.

  • Fulham 0 wins in 6, bottom of the table, yet priced at 58.7% to win.
  • Hull 8th with 9 points; away win at 5.25 is fat value.
  • Under 2.75 fits both teams' recent low-scoring trend.
Key factors
  • Market prices Fulham at 58.7% win despite 0 wins in 6 and bottom of table.
  • Hull City 8th with 9 pts and better goal difference; away win at 5.25 is fat value.
  • Under 2.75 aligns with both teams' recent low-scoring trend (6 of last 10 combined under 2.75).

Players to watch

Season stats for players likely to affect the match.

Fulham

Unknown
G2A0RTG20.8
Unknown
G1A0RTG13.1
Unknown
G1A0RTG12.85
Unknown
G1A0RTG19.1
Unknown
G0A0RTG19.85
Unknown
G0A0RTG21.45
Unknown
G0A0RTG13
Unknown
G0A0RTG6.95

Hull City

Unknown
G3A2RTG21.75
Unknown
G1A0RTG20.1
Unknown
G1A0RTG7.1
Unknown
G1A0RTG7
Unknown
G1A0RTG13.5
Unknown
G1A0RTG17.9
Unknown
G0A0RTG12.95
Unknown
G0A0RTG20.25